Call CS-2026-0813-002

Ziggy: Learn ASL Sign Language

MISS

opened · resolves · criteria v0.1 · MISS

Maximilian Cascerceri

Track ID
6781227577
Seller
Maximilian Cascerceri
Called at
Baseline rating count
832
D+21 verification
D+42 verification
· bar 2,496 (≥3.0× baseline)
Criteria version
v0.1
App Store
View on the App Store
Status
MISS

Status note

MISS — rating count reached 2005 by 2026-09-24, below 2496 (criterion: v0.1).

Resolution criteria v0.1 — verbatim rating count reaches ≥2.0× baseline AND absolute gain ≥50 by D+21, OR ≥3.0× baseline by D+42 Open methodology v0.1
Cite this entry
CurveSpotter, "Ziggy: Learn ASL Sign Language," call CS-2026-0813-002, opened 2026-08-13, curvespotter.com/calls/ziggy, status as of 2026-10-08: MISS.

Rating-count velocity

Open app series

App Store rating count, US · fixed call criterion shown

Rating-count time seriesRating count from 2026-08-10T10:33:28.095Z to 2026-10-08T18:00:06.996Z, ranging from 622 to 4512. Fixed criterion: bar 2,496 by 2026-09-24.4,5122,567622bar 2,496 by 2026-09-242026-08-102026-08-192026-08-272026-09-052026-09-142026-10-08curvespotter.com/apps/6781227577 · 92 snapshots 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-08

Evidence

Opening evidence 832 ratings at baseline Opened
  • Baseline: 832 App Store ratings (US) as of our snapshot 2026-08-12T18:00:01Z.
  • Two consecutive positive daily intervals, both measured: 622 → 765 between 2026-08-10T18:00:04Z and 2026-08-11T18:00:01Z (+143), then 765 → 832 between 2026-08-11T18:00:01Z and 2026-08-12T18:00:01Z (+67). Windowed velocity over 2026-08-10T10:33:28Z → 2026-08-12T18:00:01Z: +90.9/day.
  • Released 2026-07-21 (Apple first-publication date) — the growth above is happening in the app's fourth week. Solo developer (seller: Maximilian Cascerceri).
  • Mechanism, quoted from the App Store listing: 'bite-sized video lessons, gamified quizzes, and smart review exercises', '30+ structured learning units', '500+ signs, words, and real-life phrases', 'daily learning streaks'.
  • Rating-count percentile within its tracking-age cohort: 100 as of 2026-08-12T18:00:01Z.
  • Counter-signal, recorded at call time: the app's chart rank has been declining across the same days its rating count grew. One reading is lagging inflow from a passed peak; the call is made with that risk stated, not around it.

Sources

Analysis

Ziggy applies the language-app playbook — video lessons, gamified quizzes, review exercises, daily streaks — to American Sign Language, a language the major learning apps do not teach. It is three weeks old and built by one person.

This is the first call in the ledger selected mechanically rather than editorially: it entered the second batch by showing two consecutive positive daily growth intervals inside our 500–2,000-rating observation band, the selection rule fixed and published before this entry existed. The first batch was chosen from the operator’s area of judgment; this one was chosen by the measurement.

The growth is real and cited above. What it means is genuinely uncertain, and the strongest counter-reading is on the record: Ziggy’s chart position fell across the same days its rating count rose, which is consistent with a wave that has already crested and is now paying out its tail. If that reading is right, this call resolves MISS — the D+21 bar (2× baseline, here 1,664) needs the recent rate to hold for three weeks, and post-peak tails decay.

What would make this a HIT instead: ASL has channels that can refill a wave after charts stop showing it — classrooms, Deaf community networks, signing content on short video — and the app is growing at the top of its tracking-age cohort while the incumbents’ catalogues leave the category empty.

Either way, the resolution date is fixed and the number will be published against the bar recorded above.

Disclosure, appended 2026-09-30. Between our runs of 2026-09-14T18:00Z and 2026-09-15T18:00Z, in the fifth week of this call’s six-week window, the App Store listing’s seller changed from Maximilian Cascerceri (seller id 1767138236, the seller named above as of the call date) to OneDegree Labs LLC (seller id 1850531994). The trackId, 6781227577, did not change; the call named the trackId and the verdict follows it. The transfer is recorded beside the verdict: it neither holds nor changes the result, and the description above of a solo developer describes the seller at call time. After the decisive run the count kept rising and passed the bar on our run of 2026-09-28T18:00Z (2,581 against 2,496), four nights after the run fixed at signing, and read 2,890 on 2026-09-29T18:00Z. The verdict is judged on the run recorded before any number existed; a count reached after it does not change the result.